Code Date Venue Fees
PM071 11 - 29 Sep 2017 London - United Kingdom $16,500 Register
Home » Seminars » Project Management » Project Appraisal and Risk Management

Introduction

Sound investment decision–making in the public and private sectors is key to ensuring the sustainable health & growth of the economy. In the Project Appraisal and Risk Management (PARM) program, you will acquire knowledge & tools to conduct project appraisal.

If an important capital project does not achieve the financial and strategic goals of the promoter organisation, it can result in financial losses, waste of resources and impacts across wider reputational spheres. If that failure stems from not applying the tools and techniques of modern project appraisal, risk analysis or project selection, these are avoidable errors.

The decision whether or not to invest a substantial amount in a new capital project can be based on a range of project analysis tools and techniques, backed up by rigorous, systematic evaluation of alternative options, risk factors and funding solutions. The end result is improved decision making and increased effectiveness of projects.    

This seminar will highlight:

  • The importance of thorough project appraisal and selection
  • The advantages, disadvantages and practical applications of various appraisal methods
  • Key economic and financial analysis principles
  • Modern concepts of risk assessment and techniques for risk management
  • The increasingly important role of public-private partnership (PPP) solutions in delivering successful projects

The Project Appraisal and Risk Management (PARM) program is made up of three modules:

Module 1Project Appraisal: Identification, Policy Analysis & Selection

Module 2Project Appraisal: Financial and Economic Factors

Module 3 – Project Risk Analysis & Management

Since each Module is focused on a distinct key strategic aspect of project appraisals and risk management, participants can elect to attend only those modules that bear on their own professional involvement (for example, accounting and finance specialists may opt to attend Module 2).

However all three Modules are connected and collectively integrated into an comprehensive overview of the subject matter, with benefits for all participants who need an awareness of the total project environment.

Objectives

This interactive and practical 3-part training seminar, comprising 3 distinct 5-day modules, will provide an insight into how procurement organisations can meet the challenge to pick the best projects against a context of limited resources. It will take you through the key stages of project identification, appraisal and ranking/selection, plus expert guidance on risk assessment and management tools to improve project outcomes.

The seminar will focus on the best tools to manage the project appraisal process; identifying, and comparing significant evaluation methodologies ranging from social and developmental policies through environmental and stakeholder factors to the key mechanisms of economic and financial assessment; and systematically exploring the principal risk factors and other key issues that need to be considered in managing the planning of major, long-term, high-value projects. 

Exposure to the policy, analytical, economic and funding background for major projects will promote greater understanding of the critical role that project appraisal plays in project procurement.

The seminar will conclude with an in-depth review of the most widely used mechanism for major projects, the public-private partnership (PPP) contract; identifying, assessing and allocating the principal issues in adopting a PPP model.

By the end of this training seminar, participants will be able to:

  • Describe the principal methods of project appraisal
  • Appreciate the suitability of differing appraisal techniques for project types
  • Analyse the principal policy, evaluation and economic issues common across major projects 
  • Identify key risk factors and risk management solutions
  • Recognise the benefits of the PPP project model

Training Methodology

This training seminar will utilise a variety of proven adult learning techniques to ensure maximum understanding, comprehension and retention of the information presented.  The daily workshops will be highly interactive and participative. This will involve regular discussions on key concept in project appraisal and risk management, the uses and limitations of various techniques, and how best to identify, evaluate, select and structure these high value undertakings.

Organisational Impact

Application of sound project appraisal and risk management techniques will enable the organisation to forecast potential future conditions that might create strategic opportunities or jeopardise project success, thereby not only maximizing the organisation's return on capital invested in projects, but also improving its reputation for delivering positive outcomes.

Personal Impact

By the end of this training seminar, if you have followed all the modules, your contribution to your organisation will have been significantly enhanced. You will be able to:

  • Understand the benefits likely to be achieved through projects initiated after proper appraisal and selection processes
  • Apply tools and techniques that deploy latest best practices in project appraisal
  • Understand economic and financial project appraisal concepts and measures of value
  • Discover how to evaluate and compare alternative/competing project investment options, and recommend projects with optimal potential benefits/value
  • Understand how to assess and address project risk and uncertainty
  • Develop robust structures to bring projects to market
  • Maximise the prospects of successful supplier tendering and project delivery

Who Should Attend?

This training seminar is suitable to a wide range of professionals involved in the development, appraisal, implementation and management of projects. Those with previous experience in project appraisal will be able to share their expertise with others; the broad base of participants ensures that everyone benefits from a wide range of sector and policy perspectives

 The seminar will particularly benefit:

  • Project and contracts personnel in both public and private sectors
  • Technical specialists seeking broader perspectives of project planning & implementation
  • Government officials, ministries, public sector agencies
  • Project financiers, developers, sponsors, consultants
  • Risk management personnel

Seminar Outline

MODULE 1 - Project Appraisal: Identification, Policy Analysis & Selection

DAY 1 

Introduction to Project Appraisal
  • Project planning cycle: Project identification; appraisal; selection
  • Steps in project identification (“project conception”)
  • Development of a project concept business case
  • The goals of project appraisal
  • Key issues addressed by project appraisal
    • Feasibility and technical analysis
    • Financial & economic analysis [covered in Module 2]
    • Social cost-benefits, stakeholder and environmental appraisals
  • Tools and techniques: top down, asset based, community need, bottom up
  • Project appraisal reports
  • Planning for project appraisal - human and technical resources

DAY 2 

Project Appraisal Methodologies
  • Measuring project success
  • Project feasibility studies – purpose; content; uses
  • Scoping/full feasibility studies
  • Components of a project feasibility analysis
    • Technical
    • Environmental
    • Manpower and management/administrative support
    • Social and basic needs
  • Scope and use of early-stage project due diligence

DAY 3 

Stakeholder & Social Appraisal
  • Benefits of engaging stakeholders in project identification, selection and delivery
  • Categorising stakeholders
  • Planning the stakeholder’s analysis - defining areas of interest
  • Collecting, recording, analysing & using stakeholder data
  • Scope of social cost benefit analysis (SCBA)
  • Features of SCBA
    • Definition of problem being addressed
    • Setting goals
  • Assumptions in SCBA (identifying real costs; ‘hard to capture’ benefits; lack of market benchmarks; willingness to pay issues)
  • Identification & assessment of alternative solutions

DAY 4 

Environment & Sustainability Appraisal
  • Introduction to & uses of environmental impact assessment (EIA)
  • Common steps in EIA (scoping; literature review; public consultation)
  • Impact analysis & assessment of impact
  • Mitigation measures/possible alternatives
  • Elements for sustainability analysis
    • Relevancy & acceptability
    • Economic and financial viability
    • Operation and maintenance
    • Environmental sustainability
  • Implementation and monitoring strategy

DAY 5 

Project Selection Process
  • Integration of financial, economic and social appraisals
  • Project selection - making strategic choices
  • Project selection process & selection criteria
  • Scoring models
  • Project selection policies of investors and major project organisations (World Bank, IFC, ADB)
  • Project case studies
  • Summary of seminar findings & group discussions 

 

MODULE 2 - Project Appraisal: Financial and Economic Factors

Day 6

Source of Finance                                          
  • Potential funding sources
  • Capital markets in financing projects:
    • Long Term source of finance
    •  Short Term source of finance
  • Evaluation of the Types of Finance
  • Equity Finance
  • Debt Finance
  • The Cost of Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
  • Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
  • Different measures of risks

Day 7

Investment Decisions
  • The most appropriate valuation techniques for different economic sectors
  • Applying time-adjusted measures
  • Social cost-benefit analysis in project appraisal
    • Net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR) and Pay back method
  • Decision making using EVA and NPV
  • Modified internal rate of return (MIRR)
  • Application of real option to project valuations
  • Integration of financial, economic and social appraisals to investment decisions
  • Impact of inflation on financial viability and risks
  •  Foreign exchange risks
  • Financial and economic analysis for selecting a high quality projects
  • Sensitivity analysis, scenario analysis and simulation

Day 8

Managing, Controlling and Modelling Cash flow
  • Development of Cash Flow Statement
  • Cash versus Profit
  • The Cash Conversion Cycle
  • Calculating and Managing the Cash Flow Cycle
  • Cash Flow Ratios
  • Working Capital
  • The Cost of Maintaining Working Capital
  • Maintaining the Optimum level of Working Capital
  • Working Investment Ratios
  • Preparing a Monthly Cash Flow Forecast

Day 9

The Challenge of Financial Economic Decision-Making
  • The practice of financial/economic analysis
  • The value-creating company
  • Corporate value and shareholder value
  • A dynamic perspective of business
  • The agency problem and corporate governance
  • What information and data to use?
  • The nature of financial statements
  • The context of financial analysis and decision-making

Day 10

Revisit the Key Concepts in Decision Making
  • Seminar Summary and Checklists
  • Cash Budgets & Capital Budgets reviewed
  • Financial Skills and Further Development
  • Open Forum
  • Seminar Review

 

MODULE 3 - Project Risk Analysis & Management

DAY 11 

Project Structure Selection
  • Planning structures for delivering projects
  • Defining a risk tolerance baseline for all activity, plus incremental procedures for high-value, complex projects
  • Scaling risk management to the size and complexity of a programme or project
  • Project structures to address risks from the points of view of:
    • sponsors
    • lenders
    • investors
    • contractors
  • Concession contract models
  • Foreign direct investments
  • Joint ventures
  • Service outsourcings
  • Keeping structures & financing flexible to accommodate changes

DAY 12 

Risk Assessment
  • Risk identification
  • Developing a risk matrix with risk ratings based on probability and impact
  • Types of Risk
    • Hazard risks
    • Financial (business) risks
    • Operational (technical) risks
    • Strategic risks
    • Internal & finance risks
    • External risks
  • Risk assessment/analysis
  • Sensitivity Analysis – (“what if analysis”)
    • identifying risks
    • identifying the impacts of risk
    • estimating the likelihood of risks occurring
    • estimate the cost of risk
  • Risk response/mitigation planning 
  • Monitoring and Communicating Risk

DAY 13 

Risk Management
  • Objective of project risk management
  • Tools and techniques for risk management
    • Avoidance – modifying a project plan
    • Transference – shifting consequences and responsibilities
    • Mitigation – preventative action
    • Acceptance – accepting risk outcomes
  • Limitations of risk management
  • Use of insurance & external/3rd party mechanisms in risk strategies
  • Constructing a risk-adjusted project cost model
  • Using risk factors to test affordability
  • The roles of incentives, sanctions and risk sharing
  • Using project design, financial and organisational arrangements as risk management tools

DAY 14 

The PPP Contract Model
  • The general principles of how project appraisal, selection, design and risk management ensure more measurable, controllable, successful projects
  • What are Public-private partnerships (PPPs)
  • The dynamics of PPPs & how key risk areas can be managed
  • Use of PPPs in different sectors and services
  • The roles and relationships of public and private parties
  • Principal ways PPP contracts can be properly managed
  • What are the lessons for adopting and/or adapting PPP models across future projects?

DAY 15 

Project Funding Solutions
  • Embedding risk management into normal operations
  • Allotting appropriate resources for risk management activities
  • Integrating risk management into project protocols and controls
  • Risk management monitoring and control throughout the project lifecycle to improve and guide risk management processes
  • Evaluating effectiveness of risk response actions (and making adjustments within the project cycle)
  • Summaries of conclusions and group discussions

 

 

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Project Appraisal and Risk Management


Upcoming Dates

Code Date Venue Fees
PM071 11 - 29 Sep 2017 London - United Kingdom $16,500

Project Management Institute (PMI)® has reviewed and approved GLOMACS as a Global Provider of project management training. This is a PMI® Approved/Registered training seminar and hence attendance to this training course will enable those credentialed with PMI® to receive applicable PDUs upon updating their status with PMI®.

(REP logo, PMI & PMP are registered trademarks of Project Management Institute, Inc.)

Introduction

Sound investment decision–making in the public and private sectors is key to ensuring the sustainable health & growth of the economy. In the Project Appraisal and Risk Management (PARM) program, you will acquire knowledge & tools to conduct project appraisal.

If an important capital project does not achieve the financial and strategic goals of the promoter organisation, it can result in financial losses, waste of resources and impacts across wider reputational spheres. If that failure stems from not applying the tools and techniques of modern project appraisal, risk analysis or project selection, these are avoidable errors.

The decision whether or not to invest a substantial amount in a new capital project can be based on a range of project analysis tools and techniques, backed up by rigorous, systematic evaluation of alternative options, risk factors and funding solutions. The end result is improved decision making and increased effectiveness of projects.    

This seminar will highlight:

  • The importance of thorough project appraisal and selection
  • The advantages, disadvantages and practical applications of various appraisal methods
  • Key economic and financial analysis principles
  • Modern concepts of risk assessment and techniques for risk management
  • The increasingly important role of public-private partnership (PPP) solutions in delivering successful projects

The Project Appraisal and Risk Management (PARM) program is made up of three modules:

Module 1Project Appraisal: Identification, Policy Analysis & Selection

Module 2Project Appraisal: Financial and Economic Factors

Module 3 – Project Risk Analysis & Management

Since each Module is focused on a distinct key strategic aspect of project appraisals and risk management, participants can elect to attend only those modules that bear on their own professional involvement (for example, accounting and finance specialists may opt to attend Module 2).

However all three Modules are connected and collectively integrated into an comprehensive overview of the subject matter, with benefits for all participants who need an awareness of the total project environment.

The seminar is split into three modules:

MODULE I -

MODULE II -

MODULE III -

Each module is structured and can be taken as a stand-alone training course; however, delegates will maximise their benefits by taking Module 1,2 and 3 back-to-back as a two-week training course.

Objectives

This interactive and practical 3-part training seminar, comprising 3 distinct 5-day modules, will provide an insight into how procurement organisations can meet the challenge to pick the best projects against a context of limited resources. It will take you through the key stages of project identification, appraisal and ranking/selection, plus expert guidance on risk assessment and management tools to improve project outcomes.

The seminar will focus on the best tools to manage the project appraisal process; identifying, and comparing significant evaluation methodologies ranging from social and developmental policies through environmental and stakeholder factors to the key mechanisms of economic and financial assessment; and systematically exploring the principal risk factors and other key issues that need to be considered in managing the planning of major, long-term, high-value projects. 

Exposure to the policy, analytical, economic and funding background for major projects will promote greater understanding of the critical role that project appraisal plays in project procurement.

The seminar will conclude with an in-depth review of the most widely used mechanism for major projects, the public-private partnership (PPP) contract; identifying, assessing and allocating the principal issues in adopting a PPP model.

By the end of this training seminar, participants will be able to:

  • Describe the principal methods of project appraisal
  • Appreciate the suitability of differing appraisal techniques for project types
  • Analyse the principal policy, evaluation and economic issues common across major projects 
  • Identify key risk factors and risk management solutions
  • Recognise the benefits of the PPP project model

Training Methodology

This training seminar will utilise a variety of proven adult learning techniques to ensure maximum understanding, comprehension and retention of the information presented.  The daily workshops will be highly interactive and participative. This will involve regular discussions on key concept in project appraisal and risk management, the uses and limitations of various techniques, and how best to identify, evaluate, select and structure these high value undertakings.

Organisational Impact

Application of sound project appraisal and risk management techniques will enable the organisation to forecast potential future conditions that might create strategic opportunities or jeopardise project success, thereby not only maximizing the organisation's return on capital invested in projects, but also improving its reputation for delivering positive outcomes.

Personal Impact

By the end of this training seminar, if you have followed all the modules, your contribution to your organisation will have been significantly enhanced. You will be able to:

  • Understand the benefits likely to be achieved through projects initiated after proper appraisal and selection processes
  • Apply tools and techniques that deploy latest best practices in project appraisal
  • Understand economic and financial project appraisal concepts and measures of value
  • Discover how to evaluate and compare alternative/competing project investment options, and recommend projects with optimal potential benefits/value
  • Understand how to assess and address project risk and uncertainty
  • Develop robust structures to bring projects to market
  • Maximise the prospects of successful supplier tendering and project delivery

Who Should Attend?

This training seminar is suitable to a wide range of professionals involved in the development, appraisal, implementation and management of projects. Those with previous experience in project appraisal will be able to share their expertise with others; the broad base of participants ensures that everyone benefits from a wide range of sector and policy perspectives

 The seminar will particularly benefit:

  • Project and contracts personnel in both public and private sectors
  • Technical specialists seeking broader perspectives of project planning & implementation
  • Government officials, ministries, public sector agencies
  • Project financiers, developers, sponsors, consultants
  • Risk management personnel

SEMINAR OUTLINE

MODULE 1 - Project Appraisal: Identification, Policy Analysis & Selection

DAY 1 

Introduction to Project Appraisal
  • Project planning cycle: Project identification; appraisal; selection
  • Steps in project identification (“project conception”)
  • Development of a project concept business case
  • The goals of project appraisal
  • Key issues addressed by project appraisal
    • Feasibility and technical analysis
    • Financial & economic analysis [covered in Module 2]
    • Social cost-benefits, stakeholder and environmental appraisals
  • Tools and techniques: top down, asset based, community need, bottom up
  • Project appraisal reports
  • Planning for project appraisal - human and technical resources

DAY 2 

Project Appraisal Methodologies
  • Measuring project success
  • Project feasibility studies – purpose; content; uses
  • Scoping/full feasibility studies
  • Components of a project feasibility analysis
    • Technical
    • Environmental
    • Manpower and management/administrative support
    • Social and basic needs
  • Scope and use of early-stage project due diligence

DAY 3 

Stakeholder & Social Appraisal
  • Benefits of engaging stakeholders in project identification, selection and delivery
  • Categorising stakeholders
  • Planning the stakeholder’s analysis - defining areas of interest
  • Collecting, recording, analysing & using stakeholder data
  • Scope of social cost benefit analysis (SCBA)
  • Features of SCBA
    • Definition of problem being addressed
    • Setting goals
  • Assumptions in SCBA (identifying real costs; ‘hard to capture’ benefits; lack of market benchmarks; willingness to pay issues)
  • Identification & assessment of alternative solutions

DAY 4 

Environment & Sustainability Appraisal
  • Introduction to & uses of environmental impact assessment (EIA)
  • Common steps in EIA (scoping; literature review; public consultation)
  • Impact analysis & assessment of impact
  • Mitigation measures/possible alternatives
  • Elements for sustainability analysis
    • Relevancy & acceptability
    • Economic and financial viability
    • Operation and maintenance
    • Environmental sustainability
  • Implementation and monitoring strategy

DAY 5 

Project Selection Process
  • Integration of financial, economic and social appraisals
  • Project selection - making strategic choices
  • Project selection process & selection criteria
  • Scoring models
  • Project selection policies of investors and major project organisations (World Bank, IFC, ADB)
  • Project case studies
  • Summary of seminar findings & group discussions 

 

MODULE 2 - Project Appraisal: Financial and Economic Factors

Day 6

Source of Finance                                          
  • Potential funding sources
  • Capital markets in financing projects:
    • Long Term source of finance
    •  Short Term source of finance
  • Evaluation of the Types of Finance
  • Equity Finance
  • Debt Finance
  • The Cost of Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
  • Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
  • Different measures of risks

Day 7

Investment Decisions
  • The most appropriate valuation techniques for different economic sectors
  • Applying time-adjusted measures
  • Social cost-benefit analysis in project appraisal
    • Net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR) and Pay back method
  • Decision making using EVA and NPV
  • Modified internal rate of return (MIRR)
  • Application of real option to project valuations
  • Integration of financial, economic and social appraisals to investment decisions
  • Impact of inflation on financial viability and risks
  •  Foreign exchange risks
  • Financial and economic analysis for selecting a high quality projects
  • Sensitivity analysis, scenario analysis and simulation

Day 8

Managing, Controlling and Modelling Cash flow
  • Development of Cash Flow Statement
  • Cash versus Profit
  • The Cash Conversion Cycle
  • Calculating and Managing the Cash Flow Cycle
  • Cash Flow Ratios
  • Working Capital
  • The Cost of Maintaining Working Capital
  • Maintaining the Optimum level of Working Capital
  • Working Investment Ratios
  • Preparing a Monthly Cash Flow Forecast

Day 9

The Challenge of Financial Economic Decision-Making
  • The practice of financial/economic analysis
  • The value-creating company
  • Corporate value and shareholder value
  • A dynamic perspective of business
  • The agency problem and corporate governance
  • What information and data to use?
  • The nature of financial statements
  • The context of financial analysis and decision-making

Day 10

Revisit the Key Concepts in Decision Making
  • Seminar Summary and Checklists
  • Cash Budgets & Capital Budgets reviewed
  • Financial Skills and Further Development
  • Open Forum
  • Seminar Review

 

MODULE 3 - Project Risk Analysis & Management

DAY 11 

Project Structure Selection
  • Planning structures for delivering projects
  • Defining a risk tolerance baseline for all activity, plus incremental procedures for high-value, complex projects
  • Scaling risk management to the size and complexity of a programme or project
  • Project structures to address risks from the points of view of:
    • sponsors
    • lenders
    • investors
    • contractors
  • Concession contract models
  • Foreign direct investments
  • Joint ventures
  • Service outsourcings
  • Keeping structures & financing flexible to accommodate changes

DAY 12 

Risk Assessment
  • Risk identification
  • Developing a risk matrix with risk ratings based on probability and impact
  • Types of Risk
    • Hazard risks
    • Financial (business) risks
    • Operational (technical) risks
    • Strategic risks
    • Internal & finance risks
    • External risks
  • Risk assessment/analysis
  • Sensitivity Analysis – (“what if analysis”)
    • identifying risks
    • identifying the impacts of risk
    • estimating the likelihood of risks occurring
    • estimate the cost of risk
  • Risk response/mitigation planning 
  • Monitoring and Communicating Risk

DAY 13 

Risk Management
  • Objective of project risk management
  • Tools and techniques for risk management
    • Avoidance – modifying a project plan
    • Transference – shifting consequences and responsibilities
    • Mitigation – preventative action
    • Acceptance – accepting risk outcomes
  • Limitations of risk management
  • Use of insurance & external/3rd party mechanisms in risk strategies
  • Constructing a risk-adjusted project cost model
  • Using risk factors to test affordability
  • The roles of incentives, sanctions and risk sharing
  • Using project design, financial and organisational arrangements as risk management tools

DAY 14 

The PPP Contract Model
  • The general principles of how project appraisal, selection, design and risk management ensure more measurable, controllable, successful projects
  • What are Public-private partnerships (PPPs)
  • The dynamics of PPPs & how key risk areas can be managed
  • Use of PPPs in different sectors and services
  • The roles and relationships of public and private parties
  • Principal ways PPP contracts can be properly managed
  • What are the lessons for adopting and/or adapting PPP models across future projects?

DAY 15 

Project Funding Solutions
  • Embedding risk management into normal operations
  • Allotting appropriate resources for risk management activities
  • Integrating risk management into project protocols and controls
  • Risk management monitoring and control throughout the project lifecycle to improve and guide risk management processes
  • Evaluating effectiveness of risk response actions (and making adjustments within the project cycle)
  • Summaries of conclusions and group discussions

 

 


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GLOMACS is registered with NASBA as a sponsor of Continuing Professional Education (CPE) on the National Registry of CPE Sponsors. NASBA have final authority on the acceptance of individual courses for CPE credit. Complaints regarding registered sponsors may be submitted to the National Registry of CPE Sponsors through its website: www.learningmarket.org.

 

All Training Seminars delivered by GLOMACS by default are eligible for CPE Credit.

Quality Logo

GLOMACS is proud to be an approved Registered Education Provider (R.E.P.) with PMI®. As an R.E.P. GLOMACS is qualified to issue applicable Professional Development Units (PDUs) to participants of any of its PMI® registered/approved seminars where one (1) PDU is equivalent to one (1) contact hour of training.

(REP logo, PMI & PMP are registered trademarks of Project Management Institute, Inc.)



© 2017. Material published by GLOMACS shown here is copyrighted.
All rights reserved. Any unauthorized copying, distribution, use, dissemination, downloading, storing (in any medium), transmission, reproduction or reliance in whole or any part of this course outline is prohibited and will constitute an infringement of copyright.

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